TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$1,227

62° to 63°

 - Kalshi

62° to 63° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

62° to 63°

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$387
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or above

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the night might be.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55°F or below, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, or 64°F and above. The Weather Company's official reporting is the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and users should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.