TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$56,486

55° to 56°

 - Kalshi

55° to 56° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,233
N/A
N/A
$2,633
Settled
Yes
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,209
N/A
N/A
$13,593
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,791
N/A
N/A
$8,721
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,006
N/A
N/A
$5,990
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,949
N/A
N/A
$4,709
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
$292
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges being reached during that night.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50° or below, 51-52°, 53-54°, 55-56°, 57-58°, or 59° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and while other weather services may offer similar data, they are not used for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience and does not guarantee error-free data.