TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$14,415

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,405
N/A
N/A
$1,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,710
N/A
N/A
$5,540
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,478
N/A
N/A
$1,766
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,712
N/A
N/A
$1,701
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,131
N/A
N/A
$1,033
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
$969
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 64°F or below, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, or above 72°F. The Weather Company’s official reporting is definitive, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.