TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 64°F or below, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, or above 72°F. The Weather Company’s official reporting is definitive, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.