TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume:
$27,869

63° to 64°

 - Kalshi

63° to 64° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

63° to 64°

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,455
N/A
N/A
$5,837
Settled
Yes
kalshi

65° or above

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,356
N/A
N/A
$10,000
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,630
N/A
N/A
$2,442
Settled
No
kalshi

56° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,272
N/A
N/A
$1,278
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,905
N/A
N/A
$1,223
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,250
N/A
N/A
$1,244
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature that will occur in Los Angeles on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 56°F or below, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, 61-62°F, 63-64°F, or 65°F and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. In the event that no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exemption from potential revisions.