TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 9, 2026?

Volume:
$13,468

61° or above

 - Kalshi

61° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

61° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,466
N/A
N/A
$3,877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,468
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,335
N/A
N/A
$1,335
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,253
N/A
N/A
$871
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
$528
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the minimum temperature recorded in Los Angeles on June 9, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report. The market appears designed to capture virtually any temperature outcome, as the resolution rules cover all possible temperature ranges from below 53°F to above 60°F.

Frequently asked questions

The Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 9, 2026 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and pricing for this weather event. It displays the current implied probability of different temperature outcomes, historical price movements, and trading volume to help you monitor market sentiment. The dashboard updates continuously as traders place new bets, reflecting the latest consensus on what the lowest temperature will be on that specific date in Los Angeles. You can use this data to compare current market odds against your own weather forecasts or meteorological expectations.

On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 9, 2026 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting different temperature thresholds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about whether the actual low will fall within or outside specified ranges. The price of each contract directly represents the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new weather data emerges or trading interest shifts, contract prices adjust dynamically, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates that reflect current consensus.

The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the lowest temperature for June 9, 2026 in Los Angeles has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on the official temperature data for that date, which is typically sourced from recognized meteorological authorities. Once the actual low temperature is confirmed, the market settles based on which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded temperature falls into. Traders holding contracts aligned with the final outcome receive their winnings, while mismatched positions expire worthless.

Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 9, 2026. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in high-pressure systems or marine layer intensity, will influence trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time atmospheric data closer to the date will drive repricing. El Niño or La Niña conditions, unusual heat waves or cold snaps in the preceding weeks, and any anomalous jet stream behavior could all move the market. As June 9 approaches, increasingly accurate short-range forecasts will narrow uncertainty and finalize pricing.