TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 4, 2026?

Volume:
$12,089

61° to 62°

 - Kalshi

61° to 62° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

61° to 62°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,604
N/A
N/A
$4,190
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,873
N/A
N/A
$1,654
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,613
N/A
N/A
$1,156
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,194
N/A
N/A
$1,112
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$912
N/A
N/A
$710
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$893
N/A
N/A
$873
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The overnight low temperature in Los Angeles on June 4, 2026, will be recorded according to the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 4, 2026 is priced as a binary or range-based contract where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds. Prices move between 0 and 100 cents based on the probability traders assign to each outcome. As new weather data emerges or seasonal patterns become clearer, the market price adjusts to reflect updated expectations. Kalshi's order book shows bid-ask spreads that tighten or widen depending on trading volume and conviction among participants.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 4, 2026 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by the actual minimum temperature observed in Los Angeles on that date, which serves as the ground truth for settling all positions. Traders holding shares aligned with the correct outcome receive their payout, while those on incorrect outcomes lose their stake. The specific measurement source and methodology are established at market creation to ensure objective, verifiable settlement.

Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 4, 2026. Seasonal weather pattern updates, changes to long-range forecasts, and historical temperature anomalies for early June in Los Angeles all influence trader expectations. Major atmospheric events such as heat domes, cold fronts, or unusual pressure systems could trigger repricing. Additionally, as June 4 approaches, short-range meteorological models become more reliable, often causing sharp price movements. Real-time weather alerts and climate monitoring data published in the weeks leading up to the event will likely drive significant trading activity and odds adjustments.