TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The overnight low temperature in Los Angeles on June 4, 2026, will be recorded according to the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 4, 2026 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by the actual minimum temperature observed in Los Angeles on that date, which serves as the ground truth for settling all positions. Traders holding shares aligned with the correct outcome receive their payout, while those on incorrect outcomes lose their stake. The specific measurement source and methodology are established at market creation to ensure objective, verifiable settlement.
Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 4, 2026. Seasonal weather pattern updates, changes to long-range forecasts, and historical temperature anomalies for early June in Los Angeles all influence trader expectations. Major atmospheric events such as heat domes, cold fronts, or unusual pressure systems could trigger repricing. Additionally, as June 4 approaches, short-range meteorological models become more reliable, often causing sharp price movements. Real-time weather alerts and climate monitoring data published in the weeks leading up to the event will likely drive significant trading activity and odds adjustments.