TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 29, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60° or below, 61-62°, 63-64°, 65-66°, 67-68°, or 69° and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may offer similar data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion nuances, and final resolution will depend on the official published data. The URL provided in the secondary rules directs traders to the correct data source, where they can navigate to the 'Observed Weather' tab and select 'Los Angeles Airport, CA' with the Daily Climate Report option to verify the official reading.