TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 29, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 29, 2026?

Volume:
$25,616

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,998
N/A
N/A
$3,730
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,761
N/A
N/A
$6,412
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,132
N/A
N/A
$2,254
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,621
N/A
N/A
$1,590
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$1,430
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$595
N/A
N/A
$595
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 29, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60° or below, 61-62°, 63-64°, 65-66°, 67-68°, or 69° and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may offer similar data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion nuances, and final resolution will depend on the official published data. The URL provided in the secondary rules directs traders to the correct data source, where they can navigate to the 'Observed Weather' tab and select 'Los Angeles Airport, CA' with the Daily Climate Report option to verify the official reading.