TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 24, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 24, 2026?

Volume:
$9,283

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,868
N/A
N/A
$1,387
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,936
N/A
N/A
$2,635
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
$775
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$880
N/A
N/A
$777
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 24, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 63°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or above 70°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may be referenced for guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports are updated at varying frequencies across locations, requiring careful verification of the final reported value.