TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$19,283

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,706
N/A
N/A
$4,069
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° or above

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,553
N/A
N/A
$6,758
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,809
N/A
N/A
$913
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$268
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will lead to cooler or warmer nights based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may provide guidance, they do not determine outcomes. Traders should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, and only the final official report governs resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to 'Yes' depending on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.