TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will lead to cooler or warmer nights based on historical trends and forecasts.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may provide guidance, they do not determine outcomes. Traders should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, and only the final official report governs resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to 'Yes' depending on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.