TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$19,787

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,425
N/A
N/A
$3,791
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° or above

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,623
N/A
N/A
$9,940
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,612
N/A
N/A
$1,584
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,377
N/A
N/A
$1,309
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$521
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60°F or below, 61°F-62°F, 63°F-64°F, 65°F-66°F, 67°F-68°F, or 69°F and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary or third-party weather data should not be used for resolution, as official NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances that affect the outcome. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve as Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.