TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60°F or below, 61°F-62°F, 63°F-64°F, 65°F-66°F, 67°F-68°F, or 69°F and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary or third-party weather data should not be used for resolution, as official NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances that affect the outcome. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve as Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.