TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$8,949

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,884
N/A
N/A
$2,037
Settled
Yes
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,752
N/A
N/A
$1,793
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
$885
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$624
N/A
N/A
$604
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$550
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether conditions will result in cooler or warmer overnight lows compared to historical averages for that time of year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60°F or below, 61-62°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, or 69°F and above. The National Weather Service's data takes precedence over any other weather sources, and traders must use the latest available report for verification. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports, caution is advised when interpreting early data. All outcomes are determined exclusively by the final official NWS record published after the event date.