TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?

Volume:
$12,138

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,670
N/A
N/A
$3,117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,531
N/A
N/A
$5,300
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,985
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$522
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result. The data source for the official temperature reading is clearly specified.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on August 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific numerical range, that associated market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve as Yes depending on where the actual temperature falls. The Weather Company serves as the sole authoritative source for temperature data, overriding any conflicting readings from other weather services. This structure creates a clear, range-based resolution framework where participants can assess the likelihood of different temperature scenarios.