TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result. The data source for the official temperature reading is clearly specified.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on August 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific numerical range, that associated market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve as Yes depending on where the actual temperature falls. The Weather Company serves as the sole authoritative source for temperature data, overriding any conflicting readings from other weather services. This structure creates a clear, range-based resolution framework where participants can assess the likelihood of different temperature scenarios.