TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 20, 2026?

Volume:
$7,223

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$907
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,438
N/A
N/A
$3,410
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
$1,409
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
$961
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source. Participants can speculate on whether conditions will be unusually cool or typical for that time of year.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on August 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six possible temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a distinct market outcome. If the recorded low falls within a specific numerical range, that market resolves as the definitive result. All secondary rules emphasize that while alternative weather sources may offer reference points, The Weather Company's report is the exclusive authority for determining the final outcome. This structure ensures objective resolution using a single verified data source to eliminate ambiguity across all possible temperature scenarios.