TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$18,986

66° to 67°

 - Kalshi

66° to 67° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

66° to 67°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,338
N/A
N/A
$3,523
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,377
N/A
N/A
$6,779
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,718
N/A
N/A
$1,533
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$974
N/A
N/A
$478
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The official NWS report is the sole source of truth, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. Preliminary or third-party data sources are not valid for resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports from different cities may update at varying frequencies. The resolution will consider the exact numerical value reported, with each market resolving to 'Yes' only if the recorded minimum falls strictly within its defined range.