TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that day.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The official NWS report is the sole source of truth, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. Preliminary or third-party data sources are not valid for resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports from different cities may update at varying frequencies. The resolution will consider the exact numerical value reported, with each market resolving to 'Yes' only if the recorded minimum falls strictly within its defined range.