Lowest temperature in London on May 28?

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the lowest temperature in London on May 28 has been recorded and verified. Resolution is determined by comparing the actual observed minimum temperature against the specified threshold in the contract. Official weather data sources are used to establish the final outcome. Once the temperature reading is confirmed, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on which side of the outcome they held. The exact resolution criteria and data source are detailed in the market's terms to ensure transparency and prevent disputes.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems over the North Atlantic and Europe will drive price movement. Traders monitor long-range weather models, which typically gain accuracy within two weeks of the target date. Cold fronts, jet stream positioning, and anomalies in sea-surface temperatures can all influence London's minimum temperature. Breaking news of extreme weather events or updated meteorological warnings will trigger rapid repricing. As May 28 approaches, daily weather updates and short-range forecasts become more reliable, often causing sharp market adjustments. Traders also watch for any data revisions or corrections to historical temperature records that might shift baseline expectations.