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Lowest temperature in London on June 9?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in London on June 9?

Volume:
$29,507

10°C

 - Polymarket

10°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

10°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in London on June 9 is priced through outcome tokens representing specific temperature ranges or thresholds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome trades independently; the sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar. Traders buy tokens they believe will occur and sell those they expect to miss. Price discovery happens continuously as new information arrives, and the market's implied probability for each temperature band reflects the collective belief of active participants. Liquidity and spreads vary by outcome popularity.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after June 9 concludes. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in London on that date. The specific measurement source and methodology are defined in the market's terms to ensure objective, verifiable settlement. Once the data is confirmed and published, the winning outcome token is paid out at full value while losing tokens expire worthless. This structure ensures traders have a clear, enforceable endpoint for their positions.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal anomalies, and atmospheric blocking systems can significantly alter London's expected low temperature. Updates from extended-range forecasts, changes in jet stream positioning, and anomalous sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic may trigger repricing. Real-time weather model consensus changes, tropical or polar air mass movements, and historical analogs to similar June dates will influence trader positioning. As June 9 approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable and precise, typically causing tighter odds and reduced uncertainty in market prices.