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Lowest temperature in London on June 8?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in London on June 8?

Volume:
$17,334

13°C

 - Polymarket

13°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

13°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the lowest temperature in London on June 8 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from meteorological authorities that monitor London's weather stations. The specific temperature threshold—such as 8°C or below—determines which outcome is correct. Once the actual minimum temperature is confirmed, the market settles accordingly, and traders' positions are finalized based on whether the recorded temperature meets the stated condition.

Several factors could shift odds before June 8. Major weather pattern changes—such as high-pressure systems, cold fronts, or unusual jet stream positioning—would alter temperature forecasts significantly. Seasonal anomalies or climate oscillations affecting northern Europe could influence London's minimum. Updated meteorological model runs released in the days leading up to June 8 often trigger repricing as forecasters refine their predictions. Historical temperature records for early June and any unusual atmospheric events in the weeks prior could also prompt trader reassessment of the probability that London's low will fall below the threshold.