TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$4,737

58° or above

 - Kalshi

58° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° or above

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
$1,950
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$966
N/A
N/A
$867
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
$606
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
$445
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting possible weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 49°F or below, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or 58°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and users should be cautious with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion differences. If a material error is identified in the initial data publication, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.