TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 13, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 13, 2026?

Volume:
$2,101

54° or above

 - Kalshi

54° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,168
N/A
N/A
$1,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
$190
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$138
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas (CLILAS) on October 13, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45°F or below, 46-47°F, 48-49°F, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, or above 53°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, allowing time for a corrected report or proceeding to the Expiration Date. If no data remains available by then, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.