Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jun 9, 2026?

The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on June 9, 2026, which is matched against the outcome bands offered in the contract. The specific temperature reading from the designated weather station becomes the settlement reference. Once the date passes and the final low temperature is confirmed, the corresponding outcome contract is marked to 100 cents and all other outcomes settle to zero. Traders holding the winning contract receive their payout automatically.

Several factors can shift market prices for this event. Updated long-range weather forecasts, particularly from the National Weather Service or European model runs, often trigger repricing as traders adjust expectations. Seasonal climate patterns, such as early heat waves or anomalous cool fronts, influence trader positioning. Historical temperature data for early June in Las Vegas provides a baseline that traders reference. As June 9, 2026 approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable and typically narrow the range of plausible outcomes, causing prices to concentrate around the most likely temperature band. Real-time atmospheric developments in late May and early June will be the primary drivers of final market movement.