TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$2,413

84° or above

 - Kalshi

84° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,054
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$436
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
$364
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$174
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting climate conditions and measurement standards.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Las Vegas on July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 75°F or below, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, or above 83°F. The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the latest version of the Daily Climate Report for Las Vegas, NV, via the provided URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the official NWS report determines resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve as 'Yes' based on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.