TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day. Participants assess weather patterns and historical trends to predict the result.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 29, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a 'Yes' outcome if the recorded low falls within that range: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, or above 85°F. The official NWS report is the sole source of truth, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary data, participants should exercise caution and rely only on the final NWS report. All secondary rules consistently emphasize the use of NWS data and warn against relying on alternative weather services for determination.