TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event occurs, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Las Vegas on July 28, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not authoritative. It is important to note that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reports are updated at varying frequencies across locations. The most recent version of the data for the specified date should be used when determining the outcome.