TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$7,469

91° or above

 - Kalshi

91° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

91° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,074
N/A
N/A
$2,704
Settled
Yes
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,302
N/A
N/A
$1,488
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 26, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market, with no consideration given to preliminary readings or third-party weather services. Traders must rely on the authoritative NWS data, noting that reporting may involve rounding and conversion nuances which could affect market resolution. The official data source is accessible via the NWS Climate page for Las Vegas, and only the latest version of the report for the specified date should be used for verification.