TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 26, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market, with no consideration given to preliminary readings or third-party weather services. Traders must rely on the authoritative NWS data, noting that reporting may involve rounding and conversion nuances which could affect market resolution. The official data source is accessible via the NWS Climate page for Las Vegas, and only the latest version of the report for the specified date should be used for verification.