TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$3,348

86° or above

 - Kalshi

86° or above - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,532
N/A
N/A
$1,747
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$267
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$199
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 12, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) for that date, which provides the authoritative minimum temperature measurement for the Las Vegas area.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas on July 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed through the NWS Las Vegas office website by navigating to the Observed Weather tab and selecting Las Vegas, NV with Daily Climate Report. The minimum temperature is divided into six ranges: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, and 86°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official value from the Climatological Report (Daily) takes precedence over other weather sources such as AccuWeather or Google Weather.