TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$8,044

89° or above

 - Kalshi

89° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,824
N/A
N/A
$4,272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
$697
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
$397
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$292
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts to predict the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas, NV on August 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, or 89° and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines which market resolves as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data source provided in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather data may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing discrepancies. The latest available NWS report for the date is used as the definitive source, and care should be taken to account for potential delays or variations in reporting schedules between locations.