TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts to predict the likely temperature range.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas, NV on August 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, or 89° and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines which market resolves as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data source provided in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather data may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing discrepancies. The latest available NWS report for the date is used as the definitive source, and care should be taken to account for potential delays or variations in reporting schedules between locations.