TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to determine the probable temperature range. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that day.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 8, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, or 89° and above. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, under the 'Observed Weather' tab for Las Vegas, NV, using the Daily Climate Report. Traders should rely only on the final NWS report, as preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies. No alternative weather sources, such as AccuWeather or Google Weather, determine the outcome. The latest available report for the date must be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary by location. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to 'Yes' based on where the actual minimum temperature falls within the defined ranges.