TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$3,170

88° or above

 - Kalshi

88° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,472
N/A
N/A
$1,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$143
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 7, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a 'Yes' resolution for that specific market. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within any of these ranges—from 79°F or below up to 88°F or above—the respective market will resolve positively. All participants must rely exclusively on the NWS report for verification, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not considered official. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports are updated at varying frequencies across different locations, requiring careful attention to the latest published figures.