TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$2,222

86° or above

 - Kalshi

86° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,551
N/A
N/A
$1,364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$119
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Las Vegas on August 4, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, or above 85°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market. Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not authoritative. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest published report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion methodologies inherent in NWS reporting may affect the final outcome, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data.