TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$1,750

88° or above

 - Kalshi

88° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
$917
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$434
N/A
N/A
$377
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature for Las Vegas on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party reports are not binding. Due to potential rounding and reporting nuances in the official data, participants should exercise caution when interpreting early or unofficial temperature estimates.