TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likely temperature range.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature for Las Vegas on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party reports are not binding. Due to potential rounding and reporting nuances in the official data, participants should exercise caution when interpreting early or unofficial temperature estimates.