TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$4,393

90° or above

 - Kalshi

90° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

90° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,978
N/A
N/A
$1,464
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,744
N/A
N/A
$1,227
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$299
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The official data source is critical; traders must refer to the NWS report available via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab for Las Vegas, NV, using the Daily Climate Report. It is emphasized that preliminary or third-party weather data should not be used, as the NWS report is the sole authority, and caution is advised regarding potential rounding or conversion nuances in the data. The latest version of the report for the specified date must be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary by location.