TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas on August 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data through the provided URL, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and users should use the latest available report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion methodologies applied by NWS also impact the final outcome, requiring careful interpretation of the official figures.