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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

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events

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$12,261

88° or above

 - Kalshi

88° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° or above

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,340
N/A
N/A
$2,358
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,876
N/A
N/A
$1,548
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,312
N/A
N/A
$1,499
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
$555
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas on August 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data through the provided URL, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and users should use the latest available report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion methodologies applied by NWS also impact the final outcome, requiring careful interpretation of the official figures.