TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$4,084

88° or above

 - Kalshi

88° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,962
N/A
N/A
$2,332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$954
N/A
N/A
$898
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict the night's coldest point. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 10, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, under the 'Observed Weather' tab with Las Vegas, NV selected and the Daily Climate Report chosen. Traders should use the latest published report for the date, recognizing that update frequencies may vary by location. While third-party weather services may offer guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines resolution. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised in interpretation until the final report is confirmed.