TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$17,168

86° to 87°

 - Kalshi

86° to 87° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° to 87°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,103
N/A
N/A
$3,345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,086
N/A
N/A
$5,365
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,125
N/A
N/A
$1,396
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
$287
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
$230
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
$227
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting climate conditions and measurement standards.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 1, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes, with all other markets resolving to No. The official data source is critical, as preliminary or third-party weather reports may differ due to rounding, conversion, or timing nuances. Traders must verify the final NWS report, as it is the sole authority for resolution. The ranges are structured to cover temperatures from 79°F or below up to 88°F or above, ensuring comprehensive coverage of possible outcomes.