TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific date, reflecting how climate conditions can vary significantly even within a single day. The outcome depends entirely on official meteorological data from a designated source, emphasizing the importance of precise measurement and verification in climate-related predictions.
The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded at the Houston (CLIHOU) weather station on September 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71° or below, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, 78-79°, or 80° or above. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the range that correctly captures the actual minimum temperature. All markets share a common secondary rule stating that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company’s report is the official and final arbiter. Participants should be aware that preliminary data from The Weather Company may undergo rounding or conversion adjustments before the final value is published, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings.