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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

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2,633

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Lowest temperature in Houston on Sep 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Houston on Sep 1, 2026?

Volume:
$14,583

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,046
N/A
N/A
$3,173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,009
N/A
N/A
$4,988
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,375
N/A
N/A
$862
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,329
N/A
N/A
$1,226
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,159
N/A
N/A
$707
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific date, reflecting how climate conditions can vary significantly even within a single day. The outcome depends entirely on official meteorological data from a designated source, emphasizing the importance of precise measurement and verification in climate-related predictions.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded at the Houston (CLIHOU) weather station on September 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71° or below, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, 78-79°, or 80° or above. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the range that correctly captures the actual minimum temperature. All markets share a common secondary rule stating that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company’s report is the official and final arbiter. Participants should be aware that preliminary data from The Weather Company may undergo rounding or conversion adjustments before the final value is published, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings.