TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Houston on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Houston on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$7,137

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,103
N/A
N/A
$1,591
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,498
N/A
N/A
$3,068
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$659
N/A
N/A
$448
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$442
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$137
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Houston (CLIHOU) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 69° or below, 70-71°, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, or 78° and above. The Weather Company's official report is the sole source for determining resolution, even if other weather services show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.