Lowest temperature in Houston on May 27, 2026?

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders betting on Houston's May 27, 2026 low temperature. Unlike static analyst forecasts, market prices update continuously as new meteorological data, seasonal patterns, and climate models become available. Traders incorporate information from the National Weather Service, historical May temperature trends for Houston, and broader atmospheric conditions. This dynamic pricing often captures nuances that traditional forecasts may lag on, making markets a complementary signal to expert predictions.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Houston on May 27, 2026. The specific temperature threshold and data source used to settle the contract are defined in the market's terms. Traders should review the full contract specifications on Kalshi to understand exactly which weather station and measurement protocol will be used to determine the final outcome and settle all positions.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Major weather pattern changes—such as a cold front, high-pressure system, or tropical moisture intrusion—would alter temperature expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from NOAA and the Climate Prediction Center may signal cooler or warmer conditions for late May. Historical anomalies, such as El Niño or La Niña phases, influence Houston's spring temperatures. Real-time atmospheric data, jet stream positioning, and any unusual solar or volcanic activity could also move markets. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions.