Lowest temperature in Houston on Jun 7, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Houston on June 7, 2026 is priced as binary or range-based contracts, with each outcome representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new weather data emerges or seasonal patterns become clearer, prices adjust to reflect updated trader beliefs about the likelihood of each temperature range.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after June 7, 2026 concludes and the actual lowest temperature in Houston is recorded. The outcome is determined by official temperature data from a designated weather station or meteorological source serving the Houston area. Once the low temperature is confirmed, the contract settles to reflect which outcome bracket or threshold was met, and traders' positions are finalized based on the recorded value.

Major weather pattern shifts, such as the arrival of cold fronts, changes in jet stream positioning, or tropical systems affecting the Gulf Coast, could significantly move odds. Long-range climate forecasts and seasonal outlooks from NOAA or other meteorological agencies may shift trader expectations as June 2026 approaches. Urban heat island effects, historical June temperature records for Houston, and any anomalous atmospheric conditions in the weeks leading up to the event will influence market pricing. Real-time weather model updates in early June will likely trigger the most dramatic price movements.