TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The overnight low temperature in Houston on June 3, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Houston on June 3, 2026, as measured by authoritative weather data sources. The specific temperature reading establishes which outcome contract holders predicted correctly. Traders should monitor the event date closely as conditions unfold, since the final reading will settle all positions and determine payouts for correct predictions.
Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Long-range climate forecasts and seasonal outlooks released closer to June 2026 may indicate warmer or cooler-than-normal conditions. Major weather patterns, such as high-pressure systems or tropical activity, could influence overnight lows. Historical temperature records and anomalies for early June in Houston provide baseline expectations. Additionally, broader climate trends or unexpected atmospheric events in the weeks leading up to June 3 could prompt traders to adjust positions. Real-time weather updates in late May and early June will likely drive final price movements.