Lowest temperature in Houston on Jun 10, 2026?

On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Houston on June 10, 2026 is priced as binary or range-based contracts tied to specific temperature thresholds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the implied probability derived from the current bid-ask spread. Each contract settles based on the official recorded low temperature for that date, typically sourced from NOAA or local weather stations. Kalshi's order book shows real-time liquidity and depth, allowing traders to execute at market or place limit orders. The pricing mechanism ensures that contract values reflect the collective market view of Houston's minimum temperature outcome.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the close of trading and once the official low temperature for Houston on June 10, 2026 is recorded. Resolution timing allows for verification of the final temperature reading from authoritative weather data sources. The outcome is determined by the actual lowest temperature observed in Houston during that calendar day, which settles all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor the market through the end date to adjust positions based on updated forecasts and real-time weather developments leading up to and through June 10, 2026.

Several factors can shift odds for Houston's June 10 low temperature. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in the jet stream or development of high-pressure systems, will influence trader expectations. Seasonal climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and long-range ensemble forecasts from NOAA or European models can trigger repricing. As June approaches, medium-range forecasts become more reliable and typically cause sharper price moves. Real-time atmospheric data, upper-level wind patterns, and moisture availability in the days before June 10 will drive final market adjustments. Traders should monitor extended forecasts and climate indices to anticipate market movements.