TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Houston on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Houston on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$12,587

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,366
N/A
N/A
$3,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,591
N/A
N/A
$5,463
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,103
N/A
N/A
$809
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$477
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific future date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to predict temperature ranges.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Houston on August 4, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston-Hobby, TX. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date in question. Preliminary data from other weather services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, and such discrepancies should be carefully considered when making predictions.