TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Houston on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Houston on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$14,416

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,697
N/A
N/A
$4,551
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,843
N/A
N/A
$1,721
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,391
N/A
N/A
$410
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,251
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$433
N/A
N/A
$347
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports after the date occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Houston-Hobby Airport on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS Climatological Report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across locations may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official Houston-Hobby data.