TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4?

Nov 2, 2026, 12:29 AM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 7:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$251
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$28,269
6%
Open interest:
$391N/A

26°C

 - Polymarket

26°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:15h:08m

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?

37%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 46¢ buys you 217 shares | Odds: 37% Total Payout: $217 | Net Profit: $117 Multiplier: 2.17x | ROI: 117% APY not meaningful Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

26°C

Trade
37%
Yes 46¢No 73¢
19¢
$225
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

24°C

25%
Yes 39¢No 90¢
29¢
$258
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

20°C or below

40%
Yes 40¢No 80¢
—
$4,326
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

22°C

38%
Yes 38¢No 81¢
—
$5,368
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

29°C

37%
Yes 37¢No 81.5¢
—
$5,954
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

30°C or higher

33%
Yes 33¢No 83.5¢
—
$4,885
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

21°C

17%
Yes 17¢No 91.5¢
—
$4,404
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

23°C

37%
Yes 37¢No 81.5¢
—
$1,773
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

25°C

48%
Yes 61¢No 66¢
27¢
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

27°C

3%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
$674
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
polymarket

28°C

36%
Yes 36¢No 82¢
—
$219
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 15h 8m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.