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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 1?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 1?

Volume:
$51,812

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,060
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 1 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official meteorological data for that date, ensuring an objective, verifiable outcome. Once the actual minimum temperature is published, the contract settles based on whether it matches the specified threshold or falls into an alternative outcome category. This timing gives traders until the event occurs to adjust their positions, and settlement follows promptly once authoritative temperature data becomes available.

Several factors could shift odds for Hong Kong's June 1 low temperature. Seasonal weather pattern updates, tropical storm forecasts, and monsoon activity in Southeast Asia may alter expectations. Real-time meteorological models released in late May will provide increasingly precise predictions, likely triggering significant price moves. Historical temperature anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and atmospheric pressure systems over the region can all influence outcomes. Additionally, any unusual weather events or climate alerts issued by Hong Kong's Observatory in the weeks leading up to June 1 could prompt traders to reassess probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.