TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume:
$31,209

48° or above

 - Kalshi

48° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

48° or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,818
N/A
N/A
$6,131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,150
N/A
N/A
$3,019
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,294
N/A
N/A
$2,645
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,513
N/A
N/A
$2,182
Settled
No
kalshi

39° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,258
N/A
N/A
$1,777
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,175
N/A
N/A
$1,762
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Denver on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Denver (CLIDEN) on October 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 40°F, 40-41°F, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, or above 47°F. The Weather Company’s data is the definitive source, even if other services show different values. Preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion issues, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until corrected data is published or until the expiration date arrives. If no valid data exists at expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.