TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$15,462

49° to 50°

 - Kalshi

49° to 50° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

49° to 50°

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
$1,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

51° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,406
N/A
N/A
$10,084
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$921
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$919
N/A
N/A
$690
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$717
N/A
N/A
$579
Settled
No
kalshi

42° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$675
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Denver on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Denver (CLIDEN) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 43°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, or above 50°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected revision is issued or the expiration date arrives. Should final data remain unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may offer similar data, only The Weather Company's official report governs the outcome, and users should exercise caution with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies.