Lowest temperature in Denver on May 31, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Denver on May 31, 2026 is priced as a set of binary or range-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief about whether the actual low will fall within or outside those ranges. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur, with higher prices indicating greater market confidence. As new information emerges and traders adjust positions, contract prices shift to equilibrate supply and demand.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after May 31, 2026 has concluded and the lowest temperature recorded in Denver that day is finalized. The outcome is determined by official temperature data, typically sourced from the National Weather Service or Denver International Airport's weather station. Once the actual low temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold it falls within, and traders' positions are resolved accordingly based on their contracts.

Several factors could shift market odds for Denver's May 31, 2026 low temperature. Long-range climate forecasts and seasonal outlooks released by NOAA or other meteorological agencies may indicate warmer or cooler-than-normal conditions for late May. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in the jet stream or development of high-pressure or low-pressure systems, could alter expectations. Historical temperature records and climate trends for Denver in late May provide baseline context. As May 2026 approaches, increasingly accurate short-range forecasts will refine market pricing closer to the actual event date.