TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Denver on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Denver on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$23,356

55° or below

 - Kalshi

55° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

55° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,005
N/A
N/A
$4,116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,565
N/A
N/A
$6,146
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,285
N/A
N/A
$5,594
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,599
N/A
N/A
$1,357
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Denver on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the overnight low for that day. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report released after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Denver, CO on August 4, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55°F or below, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, or above 63°F. The official NWS report is the sole source of truth, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so participants should exercise caution. The reports can be accessed via the provided NWS URL, under the 'Observed Weather' tab with 'Denver, CO' selected and the Daily Climate Report chosen. All markets are mutually exclusive and resolve based on which temperature range the official reading falls into.