Lowest temperature in Dallas on May 28, 2026?

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, after the May 28, 2026 trading day concludes and the official low temperature for Dallas is recorded. Resolution depends on verified meteorological data from a designated source, typically the National Weather Service or equivalent official weather station serving the Dallas area. The binary outcome is determined by whether the recorded minimum temperature falls below or meets/exceeds the 64-degree threshold specified in the contract. Once the official low is confirmed, the market settles automatically and trader payouts are distributed accordingly.

Several factors could shift odds for a sub-64-degree low in Dallas on May 28, 2026. Major weather pattern changes, such as cold fronts or high-pressure systems moving into Texas, would directly influence trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range models from meteorological institutions may reveal cooler or warmer trends. Late-spring atmospheric anomalies, including El Niño or La Niña conditions, could alter typical May temperatures. Real-time weather alerts and short-range forecast updates in the days leading up to May 28 will likely drive the most significant price movements as traders react to increasingly precise predictions of Dallas's actual low temperature.