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Lowest temperature in Dallas on Jun 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Dallas on Jun 11, 2026?

Volume:
$12,541

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 2:00 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,459
N/A
N/A
$3,563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,342
N/A
N/A
$2,546
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,578
N/A
N/A
$852
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$919
N/A
N/A
$806
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
$407
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$463
N/A
N/A
$441
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event concerns the minimum temperature recorded in Dallas on June 11, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service. The outcome will be determined by which temperature range the recorded minimum falls within on that date.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth on June 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature is divided into six consecutive ranges: 71°F or below, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, and 80°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct outcome. Data must be obtained from the official NWS source at the specified URL, using the "Observed Weather" tab and selecting Dallas/Fort Worth with Daily Climate Report. While preliminary NWS data and other weather services may provide guidance, the final resolution value is exclusively determined by the official NWS Climatological Report (Daily). Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect the final determination.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the lowest temperature in Dallas on June 11, 2026 on Kalshi. It displays the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, 24-hour trading volume, and historical price movements. The dashboard aggregates $12,541 in total group volume, helping traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity for this weather event. You can view how odds shift as new information emerges and track trader positioning leading up to resolution on Jun 12, 2026.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Dallas on June 11, 2026 is priced as binary or range-based contracts reflecting trader conviction about specific temperature thresholds. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced, with the market price converging toward true probability as resolution approaches on Jun 12, 2026.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the close of trading on June 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Dallas on that date, sourced from authoritative weather data. Traders should monitor the specific temperature thresholds defined in each contract outcome to understand which result will be deemed correct. Final settlement occurs shortly after the official temperature reading is confirmed and published.

Several factors could shift odds for Dallas's lowest temperature on June 11, 2026. Long-range weather model updates, seasonal climate patterns, and atmospheric pressure systems developing in the weeks before the event will influence trader expectations. Major weather events or anomalies in late May or early June could signal unusual conditions. Additionally, historical temperature records and typical June lows for Dallas serve as anchors; any shift in forecast confidence or model consensus will likely trigger repricing on Kalshi as traders adjust positions.